Art Aronson

This is a 10* NON-CONFERENCE TOTAL OF THE MONTH on the UNDER between the Vancouver Canucks and the Detroit Red Wings.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.

This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant O/U ATS statistics: 

As note that Vancouver has seen the total go UNDER the number in 17 of its last 27 after scoring four goals or more in its previous contest, while Detroit has seen the total go UNDER the number in 22 of its last 33 home games where the total is 5 1/2.

The bottom line: These teams have both been playing to some higher-scoring affairs of late, but the situation and the numbers finally point to a bit of a lower-scoring goaltenders battle in this one. Play the UNDER.

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This is a 10* TOTAL ART OF WAR on the UNDER between the Atlanta Hawks and the Brooklyn Nets. 

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.

This particular play is based primarily on strong Over/Under statistics:

As note that Atlanta has seen the total go UNDER the number in 26 of its last 41 after a loss by ten points or more and in 21 of its last 36 following a divisional contest, while Brooklyn has seen the total go UNDER the number in nine of its last 14 when playing the role of favorite.

The bottom line: We expect these Eastern Conference hopefuls to battle tough and for this total to ultimately fall UNDER the number once it’s all said and done.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* play on the OVER between the New York Jets and the Miami Dolphins.

At 3-3 the Jets are still in the mix for the division title, but after the Dolphins they face Atlanta, Buffalo and Tampa Bay before their break. At 3-2 Miami is also very much a contendor in the AFC East. This is a key/pivotal early divisional matchup and we’re expecting each side to really open up the playbook this afternoon. And from an Over/Under trend based stand point, they simply don’t get much better than this, as New York has in fact seen the total go OVER the number in five of its last eight off a loss against a division rival, while Miami has seen the total go OVER the number in six of its last eight after two or more consecutive victories.

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This is an 8* play on the UNDER between the Jacksonville Jaguars and the Indianapolis Colts.

Without Andrew Luck under center, clearly the Indianapolis Colts have little “luck” this season. And with two tough games upcoming at Cincinnati and Houston, it’s not too hard to imagine the struggling 2-4 home side getting caught “looking ahead.” The Jags are in the drivers seat in the division at 3-3 and could be caught “looking past” the lowly Colts this week to their bye week up next as well. Note that the the Jags have seen the total go UNDER the number in three of their last four “dome” games, while Indianapolis has seen the total go UNDER the number in six of its last ten following a divisional contest. This number seems a little high, play the UNDER.

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This is an 8* play on the Cleveland Browns.

Cleveland is 0-6. The Browns never thought they’d make the playoffs, but even they’d have to be pretty disappointed that they don’t have at least one win at this point of the season. Cleveland is playing with pride here as it looks to snap the slide, while we think Tennessee gets caught “looking ahead” to its bye week next week. Also note that the Titans are 0-2 ATS in their last two as a road favorite of 3.5 to seven points and just 3-13 ATS against teams with losing records, while the Browns are 3-1 ATS in their last four after five or more consecutive ATS losses. While we wouldn’t be shocked by an outright upset, we will in the end recommend grabbing as many points as you can. Play on the BROWNS.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* TOTAL OF THE YEAR on the OVER between the Cincinnati Bengals and the Pittsburgh Steelers.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

First off, both teams have been playing to quite a few “unders” already this year. The “Law Of Averages” is flawed in many ways, but we’ve always been of the belief that lop-sided trends/numbers have a way of naturally correcting themselves over the short, mid and long-term. Pittsburgh has seen the total go UNDER the number in every game it’s played this year (including all four preseason games,) while Cincinnati has seen the total go UNDER in two straight and in all but one of its games this season. And when these teams played last, the total also went UNDER the number. That’s a ridiculous amount of UNDERs, a extremely lop-sided trend which we foresee being broken in a big way this weekend.

Also note that Cincinnati has seen the total go OVER the number in six of its last ten after two or more consecutive SU wins and in three of its last four as a road dog in the 3.5 to 7 points range, while Pittsburgh has seen the total go OVER the number in five of its last eight as a home fav in the 3.5 to 7 points range.

This number is just a little low, play the OVER.

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