Alex Smart

Dallas lost to San Antonio last night in a close game by a 119-117 count and are now on tired legs against a top tier side that beat them already this year by a DD deficit. Rinse and repeat on tonights agenda. Carlisle is 36-53 ATS  in home games revenging a road loss vs opponent of 10 points or more as the coach of DALLAS. 

DALLAS is 0-7 ATS after 2 straight games where they attempted 90 or more shots this season.

The Seventysixers are 11-0 ATS/SU  as a favorite after being outscored in the paint by double digits last game with each win coming by by more than 5 points. 

PHILADELPHIA is 22-12 ATS  versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 110+ points/game this season.

NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (DALLAS) - terrible defensive team - allowing 103+ points/game on the season against opponent after a blowout win by 20 points or more are 63-105 L/24 seasons for a 63% conversion rate. 

Play on the 76ers to cover

Tyler  RHP(0-0, 0.75 ERA, 15 SO)Glasnow will look to continue his excellent start to the season, having allowed just one run while striking out 15 in 12 innings over two starts. He has a career 3.92 ERA with 110 strikeouts in 78 innings over 16 starts at Tropicana Field and gives us an edge here with the home chalk. 

Tampa Bay is according to my power rankings the far superior side here today and deserve my support on a favorite line that requires laying some heavy lumber. 

TEXAS is 1-15 against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. TEXAS is 0-10  against the money line in road games with a team slugging percentage .400 or worse on the season (AL) over the last 2 seasons.

MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +150 or more (TEXAS) - with a team batting average of .260 or worse on the season (AL), after a combined score of 2 runs or less are 2-36 L/5 seasons for a 95% conversion rate.

MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (TEXAS) - poor offensive team - scoring 4.4 or less runs/game on the season (AL), after a combined score of 2 runs or less are 6-36 L/5 seasons for a go against 86% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Tampa Bay to win 

Denver is off a down performance last time out and now Im betting on a big bounce back effort. 

DENVER is 20-8 ATS  after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games over the last 2 seasons

NBA  Road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (DENVER) - off an upset loss as a home favorite against opponent off an home win scoring 110 or more points are 28-4 ATS L/24 seasons for a 88% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Denver to cover

The Jazz average just under 120 ppg at home this season, and against a lower tier defensive side like the Wizards Im betting on them putting 5 to 10 more points on that average tonight, while the Wizards Im betting will be good for 110+ points in a chasing environment. When these teams played back on March 18th the Wizards  took a 131-122 affair, and more fireworks should be considered highly likely again in the rematch as Utah will have little empathy in melt up type of revenge match.WASHINGTON is 15-3 OVER  as an underdog of 10 or more points over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 247.3 ppg scored.WASHINGTON is 8-0 OVER versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game this season with a combined average of 250.7 ppg going on the board.WASHINGTON is 9-0 OVER (+9.0 Units) when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct.  70%) - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 258.3 ppg scored.

NBA team (UTAH) - after 2 straight blowout wins by 15 points or more against opponent after a blowout loss by 15 points or more are 42-15 OVER L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors.

Play OVER 

The Bulls were upset last night vs Minnesota , but they are a well conditioned group despite of this being a back to back game, and their 5th and final road game on this current trip. Donovan is 17-5 ATS in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game as the coach of CHICAGO. CHICAGO is 13-4 ATS in road games versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 110+ points/game this season. 

Chicago is 18-10 SU against opponents with a losing record.

The Grizzlies are 12-15 SU in home games.

Bulls are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.

Bulls are 14-5 ATS in their last 19 games as a road underdog.

Bulls are 6-0 ATS in the last 6 meetings.

Bulls to cover

#1 GOALTENDERS: ARIZONA - ADIN HILL, COLORADO - JONAS JOHANSSON

 . There is alot of value on this current offered line,  despite of the opposite records which makes for viable wagering opportunity. 

Coyotes are 4-0 in their last 4 games playing on 0 days rest.

 ARIZONA is 18-10 ATS  when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%) in the first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

NHL underdog against the money line (ARIZONA) - off 2 consecutive losses against division rivals against opponent off 2 consecutive road wins by 2 goals or more are 21-9 L/24 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Arizona to win/cover

Brooklyn looked bad against the Lakers last time out in a 126-101 loss as favorites, even though the Lakers were missing their key stars James, Davis. Its becoming a worrying scenario , as its happened before against other sides that were short handed , and one that needs addressing immediately according to  Steve Nash who constantly calls them out for it.  With that said, Im betting on the star laden nets to go out and get some redemption against a Minnesota team that pulled off an upset as underdogs last night and is now on tired legs. 

MINNESOTA is 1-9 ATS  in home games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) over the last 2 seasons.

BROOKLYN is 10-1 ATS  after 2 consecutive non-conference games this season.

Play on Brooklyn to cover