Alex Smart Sports- Where winning means everything. Testing 141-87 ATS 62% overall conversion rate that has made my dime players more than $44000.00 in bankroll expanding profits includes 42-20 68% Totals run.
I have isolated THREE very viable Totals investment options from Saturdays NBA rotational schedule. Features: NY Knicks @ Brooklyn Nets- Houston Rockets @ Detroit Pistons - Phoenix Suns @ San Antonio Spurs. Tests longterm 58-41 59% NBA Totals run! Tips after 5:30 pm et
*This package includes 3 NBA picks
I have isolated a key NHL PUCK LINE investment opportunity from Saturday nights NHL rotational schedule. Join me from now until the Stanley Cup Champs are crowned and watch your ROI go through the roof! Tests 9-4 69% puck-line run!
The Utah Utes take on the Oregon Ducks in Saturday night PAC 12 action. Which side has the edge? Your answer is locked and loaded and ready to make the books pay for taking our action. Tests 145-89 62% CBB Conversion rate .Tips after 8 pm et
*This package includes 1 NCAA-B pick
Basketball Totals (+6425) 877-743 L1620 54%
NBA Picks (+6354) 1619-1435 L3054 53%
MLB Money Lines (+5768) 828-730 L1558 53%
All Sports Totals (+5150) 1472-1304 L2776 53%
NCAA-B Picks (+4650) 145-89 L234 62%
NCAA-F Picks (+4008) 968-845 L1813 53%
Football Picks (+2787) 191-148 L339 56%
NHL Totals (+2569) 210-173 L383 55%
NFL Picks (+1137) 124-102 L226 55%
WNBA Sides (+320) 128-115 L243 53%
CFL Totals (+246) 10-7 L17 59%
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*This subscription currently includes 8 picks (3 NBA, 4 NCAA-B & 1 NHL) but more may be added during the term of the subscription.
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*This subscription currently includes 11 picks (3 NBA, 4 NCAA-B, 1 NHL & 3 NFL) but more may be added during the term of the subscription.
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*This subscription currently includes 11 picks (3 NBA, 4 NCAA-B, 1 NHL & 3 NFL) but more may be added during the term of the subscription.
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*This subscription currently includes 11 picks (3 NBA, 4 NCAA-B, 1 NHL & 3 NFL) but more may be added during the term of the subscription.
Guaranteed to show a profit or you get an additional 30 days FREE!
*This subscription currently includes 11 picks (3 NBA, 4 NCAA-B, 1 NHL & 3 NFL) but more may be added during the term of the subscription.
Guaranteed to show a profit or you get an additional 90 days FREE!
*This subscription currently includes 4 NCAA-B picks but more may be added during the term of the subscription.
*This subscription currently includes 1 NHL pick but more may be added during the term of the subscription.
*This subscription currently includes 3 NBA picks but more may be added during the term of the subscription.
It’s no secret BYU plays their best hoops at home in the high altitudes of Utah where they own a 9-2 SU record this season . St.Marys is fine team, but the Mormons always seem to save their biggest efforts for top tier sides, when playing as hosts, as was the case in a 1 point loss to the Gonzaga earlier this season. It must also be noted BYU is 2-0 SU/ATS at home in this series over the L/3 seasons and have covered 4 straight meetings overall and deserve respect as underdogs here irrespective of some lower tier recent outings. BYU is 6-0 ATS when playing with 5 or 6 days rest over the last 3 seasons. Pope is 9-1 ATS when playing with 5 or 6 days rest as the coach of BYU.
Play on BYU to cover
Match Up | Pick | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Analysis | |
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Senators vs Maple Leafs | Maple Leafs -1½ +114 | Premium | 6-2 | Loss | -100 | Show | |
The Senators are struggling and have lost two of their last three and four of their last six overall including all three of their away tilts during this sub standard run! The Sens have struggled on the road all season long ranking 28th , in the league away from Canadas capital.On the flipside the Maple Leafs have recorded the NHL’s second-best home record (19-3-4) and Im betting they dominate here on home ice vs a side they matchup well against.Five of Ottawa’s last six away defeats have been by two or more goals .TORONTO is 17-3 ATS in home games against good offensive teams - scoring 2.85+ goals/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons. Play on Toronto Maple Leafs to win -1.5 |
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Bucks vs Pacers | Pacers +9 -110 | Premium | 141-131 | Loss | -110 | Show | |
Bucks will be playing with Portis tonight and Im betting their offensive flow will be interrupted which will see the Bucks play a more defensive brand of slow down hoops that will turn this game into a grinding affair . That Im betting results in a closer margin than the lines-makers are estimating. I know the Bucks plowed down a 132-116 offensive beatdown of the Pacers back on Jan 15th but now I expect the Pacers to be in big time revenge mode and very ready to compete on. a physical more conservative level . INDIANA is 11-3 ATS in home games revenging a loss where opponent scored 110 or more points this season. MILWAUKEE is 1-8 ATS in road games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more of their attempts this season. INDIANA is 11-3 ATS in home games versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 24 or less free throws/game this season. NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (INDIANA) - after being beaten by the spread by 42 or more points total in their last seven games against opponent after going over the total by 30 or more points total in their last five games are 50-19 ATS L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate. Play on Indiana to cover |
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Bucks vs Pacers | UNDER 239 -110 | Premium | 141-131 | Loss | -110 | Show | |
The Bucks rank 18th in offense in the NBA and 6th in ppg allowed and 4th in defensive rating behind a 15th ranked pace. The Bucks Bobby Portis is expected to be out tonight and their offensive flow could easily be off here without his chemistry in the lineup, thus limiting the Bucks explosiveness .After a successful defensive display by the Bucks against Denver in a 107-99 win last time out, a similar defensive formula Im betting will used to slow down the run and gun Pacers who despite of decent offensive output rank just 24th in offensive efficiency. Advantage under. Under is 5-0 in Bucks last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Under is 4-1 in Bucks last 5 games following a straight up win. Under is 6-2 in Bucks last 8 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 22-8 in Bucks last 30 road games. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (MILWAUKEE) - well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days, good team, winning 60-75% of their games on the season are 111-49 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 70% conversion rate. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (INDIANA) - an good offensive team (114-118 PPG) against an avg. defensive team (108-114 PPG) after 42+ games, after a loss by 6 points or less are 31-9 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 78% conversion rate. Under is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings in Indiana. Play UNDER |
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Manhattan vs Niagara | Niagara -5½ -115 | Premium | 62-68 | Win | 100 | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Niagara was upset by Manhattan as road favs back on Jan 8th and will now be in revenge and redemption mode and ready for payback on their own home floor tonight. NIAGARA is 6-0 ATS in home games revenging a same season loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at +15.3 ppg. Niagara has momentum after a win last time out, - beating St.Peters by a 59-57 count - NIAGARA is 6-0 ATS after a win by 6 points or less over the last 2 seasons with a average ppg diff clicking in at +13 ppg. Play on Niagara to cover |
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North Dakota vs North Dakota State | OVER 140 -110 | Premium | 75-91 | Win | 100 | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Both these teams have eclipsed the offered total in their L/4 games and Im betting on another higher scoring affair than the Totals number being offered. North Dakota State has allowed just under 77 points on the road this season while N.Dakota has averaged 77 points on offense in their home games, and Im betting that this aggregate average continues with the visitors doing more than enough damage offensively to get us over this number. Sather is 12-4 OVER in a road game where the total is 140 to 144.5 as the coach of N DAKOTA with a combined average of 149.6 ppg scored. Sather is 6-0 OVER in road games after 2 straight losses by 10 points or more as the coach of N DAKOTA with a combined average of 151.3 ppg scored. N DAKOTA ST in their L/7 home games after one or more consecutive overs over the last 2 seasons have seen a combined average of 149.1 ppg scored. NBA Road teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (N DAKOTA) - revenging a blowout loss vs opponent of 20 points or more against opponent off a close loss by 3 points or less to a conference rival are 32-10 OVER L/26 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play over |
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Detroit vs Robert Morris | Detroit +1 -110 | Premium | 77-85 | Loss | -110 | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. This will be just the seventh all time meeting between the two schools as the Titans are 6-0 all-time, 5-0 since the Colonials joined the Horizon League including a 87-75 win at home this season . Im now betting behind the nations top scorer at 26.4 points per game, graduate senior (Antoine Davis) will be the difference maker for the road side.The Titans have shot over 50.0% as a team in each of the last five meetings against Robert Morris posting 50.8%, 50.9% and 55.6% in 2021, 50.9% last year and 52.7% in the match-up two weeks ago. Rinse and repeat on the agenda. ROBERT MORRIS is 1-8 ATS as a home favorite of 6 points or less or pick over the last 3 seasons. Play on Detroit Mercy to cover |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned.
My projection's make this total closer to 158 giving a 2 possession edge to the over. Queens is averaging just under 90 points per game on offense at home this season, and will attack again with wreck-less abandon at a fast pace, and force Stetson into opening up. This Im betting results in a fairly high scoring affair that eclipses this total.
QUEENS U - CHAR is 6-0 OVER versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 18 or less free throws/game after 15+ games this season with a combined average of 169.2 ppg scored.
STETSON is 6-0 OVER after 1 or more consecutive losses this season with a combined average of 157.8 ppg scored.
CBB teams where the total is between 150 and 159.5 points (STETSON) - in a game involving two sub standard defensive teams (45-47.5%), after a game where a team made 20% of their 3 point shots or worse are 44-12 OVER L/26 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 161.5 ppg scored.
Play on the over
Experience & Awards
I have been wagering professionally on sports and horse racing for 30 years.
My picks have been documented for 22 years.
I was the 2009 NFL Handicapper of the Year in 2009 in a prestigious event. I won the Ultimate Football NFL Championship in 2006.
I have been an NBA World Champion with 9 winning seasons the last 11 years.
I also continue to beat the College Hoops book makers with a high volume attack on a yearly basis.
Handicapping Approach
I have a firm belief in my systems. There is not a sport I feel I can not beat.
My handicapping can be best referred to as the 'The Smart Money Approach". I leave no stone unturned. I have a large database of information and statistics. I also take into consideration injuries, current and historical trends, and form. I also factor in the weather, surface conditions, and line movement.
Sports Betting Is An Investment
Many gamblers offer causal explanations for long runs of good and bad performance. The same is true of financial analysts. The records of bettors and investors show the same variable successes and failures.
Both investment opportunities show significant variables and both can give the investor an advantage. You need to do the proper research to consider all the facts. If you do so a long term profit is more than attainable.
I think sports betting is even better than the stock market. The investor/bettor has much more control over his funds. You can take a short break, and almost always know your bankroll has not been untouched.
In the markets you are leaving your 401K and other mutual investments in the hands of a volatile marketplace. Plus, you are being torched for huge handling fees by brokers on individual investments. These fees would make sports book managers drool.
I am not saying it is easy making a living from sports betting. But, the small percent who do consistently beat the books have a much better rate of return than that of any market investor!
This is the outlook I have on every wager I place in the sports wagering markets. I take my portfolio very seriously!
Money Management
To be a successful and profitable sports bettor you must always have a long term goal. Set that standard before you begin. You need to set aside a fairly substantial bankroll.
If you want to be conservative you would wager no more than 1-2% of your bankroll per game. No more than 3% on the best bets.
This might seem a little on the low side. But, this is a long and turbulent battle with the books. You will be happy that you practiced good money management and frugality.
Here are some additional guidelines I recommend.
1. Shop for your best possible lines (rogue lines) from the most reputable sources.
2. Stay disciplined and do not stray from recommended bankroll allocation on individual wagers. Chasing your wagers never a good idea.
3. Always keep in mind that your bankroll is your life line. It must be treated the same way you would treat finances allocated for any business venture.
4. Buy off the hook on key numbers.
5. Understanding the importance and the art of middling.
6. Keep a record of all your wagers and results and use them as part of over all statistical data base.
These are some important factors that will help you in your quest for long term profits.
I leave you with a thought from the late great Jimmy the Greek. The house does not beat the player, it just gives him the opportunity to beat himself.
*All selections have the same allocated bankroll %(which equals 1 betting unit).