Alex Smart

Noah Syndergaard has never made a start at Coors Filed but gets his chance today in the launching pad. Im betting it will be an unpleasant experience despite of the team granting his wish of having Rene Rivera or Tomas Nido as his catcher instead of Wilson Ramos despite of his managers reluctance to do so. Syndergaard has a 5.20 ERA. In 11 combined starts with Ramos and with Nido (10) and Rivera, he has a 2.22 ERA.

However, today, they are giving  him his wish in the worst possible place . Ummm makes you wonder if the Mets brass are trying to prove a point here. Anyhow the bottom line here is Im betting against Syndergard and the Mets, and backing Colorado on the value line at home. 

 MLB Road favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (NY METS) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 to 4.20 on the season (NL) against opponent with a starting pitcher  like Hoffman whose lasts less than 5 innings per start are 21-42 L/22 seasons for a 65% go against conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Colorado Rockies to win on the ML

Miamis starter Sandy Alcantara (5-13, 3.93 ERA, 137 SO)  has been a top tier hurler   in recent weeks. He has gone at least seven innings in six of his past seven starts. One was a complete-game, four-hit shutout against the Royals on Sept. 8. This will be his second career start against Arizona and is more than capable of limiting the DBacks production here this afternoon. Alcantara is 1-3 with a 2.59 ERA in his past eight starts, with 36 hits allowed and 48 strikeouts in 55 1/3 innings. Meanwhile, Leake, 2-3 since joining Arizona at the trade deadline, has made quality starts in three of his past four outings., and is also more than capable of limiting the offensive production of one of MLB worst offences, averaging just 3.5 rpg on the road.Leake is 6-2 with a 2.74 ERA in eight career starts against the Marlins, his second-best ERA against teams he has faced at least eight times.LEAKE is 11-1 UNDER with a team slugging percentage .400 or worse on the season (NL) over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 6.8 rpg scored. 

MLB teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (ARIZONA) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.20 to 4.70 on the season (NL) against opponent with a starting pitcher whose winning percentage is worse than 30% are 52-19 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER 

Veteran hurler  CC Sabathia is 0-4 with a 6.75 ERA in his last eight starts. He is banged up and showing his age right now and is fade material in his current form. It must be noted that the Yankees took the first game of this series, 8-0 yesterday by have proven futile in a follow up under the following perimeters. The Yankees are 0-5 L/5 on the ML in the second game of a series as a 200+ favorite when they shut out their opponent in the series opener.LA ANGELS are 11-6 against the money line in road games after allowing 8 runs or more this season and are 33-17 against the money line in road games after a game where the bullpen threw 7 or more innings. 

Play on the LA Angels to win on the ML

Brewers hurler Adrian Houser( 6-6, 3.84 ERA, 104 SO) is coming off a disappointing start in St. Louis marred by a Paul Goldschmidt grand slam. Before that, he'd allowed three or fewer runs in six straight starts and Im betting he bounces back here with a big effort vs an erratic Padres offence that has scored 3 or less runs in 8 of their L.12 games. I also expect the Padres pitchers to limit the Brewers damage here .Padres starter Lamet will be making his 13th start since returning from the Tommy John surgery that cost him all of 2018. He took the loss last Thursday, when he gave up three runs over five innings as the Padres fell to the Cubs, 4-1.SAN DIEGO is 15-4 UNDER  in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.

The Padres hqve gone under 11 straight times  off a road game in which they allowed 6 or fewer hits with a combined average of 5.4 rpg scored. No game has seen more than 8 runs scored.

Play UNDER