Alex Smart

MIKE LEAKE (R) vs. TYLER ANDERSON (L)

The Mariners starter LEAKE is 7-2  against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) I know Colorado bats have been on fire of late, but in the past they have proven less than productive going forward, as is evident by the following trend  that shows COLORADOs won loss futility as being 4-16 against the money line after batting .333 or better over a 5 game span over the last 2 seasons. It also seems the Rockies start to get a little to comfortable when playing on extended home stands, as they are  is 9-21 against the money line in home games after 5 or more consecutive home games over the last couple seasons. 

Meanwhile, Anderson the Rockies starter is in good form, but lost his last trip to the hill, 5-3 to Arizona, and in his career is just  0-1 when starting against SEATTLE with an ERA of 10.80 and a WHIP of 2.600 in his career.

COLORADO is 10-16  against the money line in home games vs. good defensive catchers - allowing 0.5 or less SB's/game this season.

SEATTLE is 17-3  against the money line after 5 or more consecutive road games this season.SEATTLE is  also 9-1 against the money line in road games after having lost 6 or 7 of their last 8 games over the last 2 seasons.

MLB underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (SEATTLE) - below average AL hitting team (AVG .265 or less) against a decent NL starting pitcher (ERA 3.70 to 4.20), with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 to 1.400 on the season-AL are 28-12  L/21 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors.

MLB favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (COLORADO) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 to 4.20 on the season (NL) against opponent with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 to 1.400 on the season-AL is 19-37 L/22 seasons for a go against 66% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Seattle Mariners to win on the moneyline 

MASAHIRO TANAKA (R) vs. TREVOR BAUER (R)

We have two strong pitchers on the mound today, but we also have two sometimes explosive offences going against these hurlers Tanka of the Yankees and Bauer of the Indians.I'm betting on the offences finding a way to so some damage here today and for this Total to be eclipsed.

TANAKA is 13-2 OVER  in road games vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .260 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 12.6 rpg scored. 

CLEVELAND is 23-8 OVER  in home games against right-handed starters this season with a combined average of 11.1 rpg scored. 

 Cleveland is 15-4 OVER  in home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season with a combined average of 11.6 rpg being scored. 

CLEVELAND is 10-2 OVER in home games vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season this season with a combined average of 12.3 rpg scored.CLEVELAND is 11-1 OVER  at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season. 

The Yankees have gone OVER 6 straight times on the road with Masahiro Tanaka when their starter went fewer than six innings in each of their last two games. The average final score in these six games was 15 rpg , with none of those tilts failing to hit the 9 run plateau. 

MLB teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (NY YANKEES) -  (AVG or less .260) against a top level starting pitcher (ERA 3.60 or better, WHIP 1.300 or better) -AL, with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 or better on the season-AL are 82-44 OVER  L/5 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors.

Play OVER 

MARCUS STROMAN (R) vs. BRIAN JOHNSON (L)

 The pitching matchup might seem to favour the Blue Jays, but the Jays starter JOHNSON is 7-0  against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)  The Jays flounder a lot at the plate and must not be overestimated here and have struggled against LHP like Johnson , going just 11-23  against the money line against left-handed starters this season. It must also be noted that the the Blue Jays have lost 10 straight on the moneyline with Marcus Stroman as a road dog when they won in his last start.

JOHNSON is 8-0  against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

BOSTON is 22-7 against the money line when the money line is -100 to -150 this season.BOSTON is 23-5 (+13.8 Units) against the money line in day games this season.

The Blue Jays have lost 19 straight on the moneyline  in the last game of a series as a underdog of more than 130 when they are off a defeat in which they held the lead which happened yesterday at Fenway. 

Play on the Boston Red Sox to win on the moneyline 

The Atlanta Dream enter this game playing their best hoops of the season, and  coming off a dominating 98-74 victory over Indiana on Friday in which seven Dream players scored 10 or more points in a game for the first time in franchise history.Atlanta has scored 90.6 points per game in the first five outings this month and are dangerous in their current form, and are my choice today vs the Washington Mystics. ( TheMystics won last time out but lost their two games and one to Atlanta previous to that and have looked unstable at times and unstoppable on other occasions, today Im expecting they will just be out played by a confident side. QUOTE:"When you get on a roll, it is the beauty of sports in general, confidence is a beautiful thing," Atlanta coach Nicki Collen said. "When the person next to you is making shots and you get a little cushion, it becomes a little easy to step up and take the next shot. There is not a ton of pressure when you are playing with a 12-point lead to take an open 3 and make it 15." END QUOTE.

Atlanta clobbered the Mystics 106-89 as road dogs on July 11 , last week, and matchup very well vs the Dream. Note: WASHINGTON is 5-13 ATS  revenging a loss where opponent scored 85 or more points over the last 2 seasons.

ATLANTA is 8-1 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

WNBA Road underdogs (WASHINGTON) - after having lost 2 of their last 3 games, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team are 6-26 ATS L/5 seasons for a 81% go against conversion rate for bettors.

WNBA Home favorites vs. the money line (ATLANTA) - after leading in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half against opponent after a combined score of 155 points or more are 28-1 L/5 seasons for a 97% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the Atlanta Dream to cover