Alex Smart

Eastern Conference - Finals - Best of 7 - Game 3 - MIL Leads 2-0

The Bucks, in game 1 of this series showed their rust after a week off, while the Raps showed their fatigue in a  108-100 final on Wednesday. In Game 2 on Friday, the Bucks reved things up  and took a 125-103 victory to take a 2-0 series lead. Now Im betting on the Raptors and the Bucks coming out here with all guns blazing in a game that Im betting eclipses the total.

 The Bucks are 11-4 OVER L/15 on the road with a combined average of 236.9 ppg scored in those 15 tilts. 

NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (MILWAUKEE) - after 5 or more consecutive wins, extremely well rested team - playing 5 or less games in 14 days are 41-12 OVER L/22 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 223.9 ppg scored.

Play OVER 

Western Conference Finals - Best of 7 - Game 5 - Series tied at 2-2

The St.Louis Blues despite of lacking experience have played some tremendous hockey since the midway point of the NHL season, and have been lights out in my humble opinion the best team in the league, and nothing has changed my opinion of that in this seasons play offs. Tonight in a  game 3 Im betting on their ability to be physical and tenacious will be the difference maker in a game vs a good San Jose team that lacks consistent defence or goaltending which is a real negative that they have been able to overcome so far in these play offs because of a potent offence and bad officiating calls. 

SAN JOSE is 11-20 ATS  off a close road loss by 1 goal over the last 3 seasons. (The Blues won game 4  by a 2-1 count)

Blues are 8-2 in their last 10 games as an underdog.Blues are 4-1 in their last 5 games playing on 1 days rest.Blues are 4-1 in their last 5 games as an underdog of +110 to +150.Blues are 4-1 in their last 5 games as a road underdog of +110 to +150.Blues are 23-6 in their last 29 when their opponent allows 2 goals or less in their previous game.Blues are 7-2 in their last 9 games as a road underdog.Blues are 20-6 in their last 26 when their opponent scores 2 goals or less in their previous game.Blues are 6-2 in their last 8 road games.Blues are 6-2 in their last 8 playoff games as an underdog.Blues are 5-2 in their last 7 vs. Pacific.Blues are 5-2 in their last 7 after scoring 2 goals or less in their previous game.Blues are 7-3 in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Blues are 7-3 in their last 10 after allowing 2 goals or less in their previous game.Blues are 17-8 in their last 25 overall.Blues are 19-9 in their last 28 vs. a team with a winning record.

Play on St.Louis Blues to win on the ML

Eastern Conference - Finals - Best of 7 - Game 3 - MIL Leads 2-0

I have not been impressed by the way the Raptors have played in the play offs overall especially the Philadelphia series, and the 2nd game of this series when they lost by 22 points. However, there is enough talent and pride with guys like Kawhi Leonard, and hardcore work ethic from key character players like Siakam to produce a top tier effort in desperation mode here at home today. Note: The L/14 seasons home favorites like the Raptors that were defeated their previous game by double digits have gone 117-79-5 ATS in the playoffs.

MILWAUKEE is 7-21 ATS L/28  off 3 or more consecutive home wins .

Milwaukee is 0-23 ATS as a rested dog when they are off a win as a home favorite in which they shot better than 25% from the arc and are facing a team with an assist-to-turnover ratio of better than 1.50.

NBA Home favorites (TORONTO) - revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more, off 2 or more consecutive road losses are 53-22 ATS L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Toronto Raptors to cover 

Rockies LH Kyle Freeland (2-5, 5.68 ERA) vs. Phillies RH Jerad Eickhoff (2-2, 2.65)

Freeland won against the Phillies on April 18, when he struck out seven and allowed only two hits in six scoreless innings. In two games against the Phillies, Freeland is 1-0 with a 0.0 ERA. also did not allow a walk. The lefty is 1-1 with a 3.71 ERA in three day games this season and despite of some recent struggles is a quality hurler that matches up well vs thePhillies batting order according to my power rankings and  offers us a viable chance to cash a value line ticket.

EICKHOFF  the Philies stater is 1-3 when starting against COLORADO with an ERA of 7.43 and a WHIP of 1.826.

Phillies are 6-15 in Eickhoffs last 21 starts with 4 days of rest.Phillies are 2-6 in Eickhoffs last 8 starts vs. National League West.

FREELAND is 6-0 against the money line in road games against NL East opponents over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) 

Rockies are 8-0 in Freelands last 8 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.

 Colorado is 14-4  against the money line vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .245 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) FREELAND is 12-5 against the money line when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) 

Colorado to win on the ML