Alex Smart Sports- /NBA/MLB/NHL action now on board. Get the info the books do not want you to have.
All Sports Totals (+5955) 1028-889 L1917 54%
NBA Picks (+5678) 1134-996 L2130 53%
MLB Money Lines (+5366) 401-338 L739 54%
NHL Picks (+4174) 324-272 L596 54%
Basketball Totals (+3238) 654-568 L1222 54%
NCAA-F Picks (+3048) 764-667 L1431 53%
Football Totals (+1569) 183-153 L336 54%
WNBA Sides (+683) 114-99 L213 54%
NCAA-B Totals (+555) 152-132 L284 54%
NFLX Totals (+554) 11-5 L16 69%
CFL Sides (+411) 51-42 L93 55%
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Match Up | Pick | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Analysis | |
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76ers vs Mavs | 76ers -2½ -115 | Premium | 113-95 | Win | 100 | Show | |
Dallas lost to San Antonio last night in a close game by a 119-117 count and are now on tired legs against a top tier side that beat them already this year by a DD deficit. Rinse and repeat on tonights agenda. Carlisle is 36-53 ATS in home games revenging a road loss vs opponent of 10 points or more as the coach of DALLAS. DALLAS is 0-7 ATS after 2 straight games where they attempted 90 or more shots this season. The Seventysixers are 11-0 ATS/SU as a favorite after being outscored in the paint by double digits last game with each win coming by by more than 5 points. PHILADELPHIA is 22-12 ATS versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 110+ points/game this season. NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (DALLAS) - terrible defensive team - allowing 103+ points/game on the season against opponent after a blowout win by 20 points or more are 63-105 L/24 seasons for a 63% conversion rate. Play on the 76ers to cover |
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Rangers vs Rays | Rays -197 | Premium | 0-1 | Win | 100 | Show | |
Tyler RHP(0-0, 0.75 ERA, 15 SO)Glasnow will look to continue his excellent start to the season, having allowed just one run while striking out 15 in 12 innings over two starts. He has a career 3.92 ERA with 110 strikeouts in 78 innings over 16 starts at Tropicana Field and gives us an edge here with the home chalk. Tampa Bay is according to my power rankings the far superior side here today and deserve my support on a favorite line that requires laying some heavy lumber. TEXAS is 1-15 against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. TEXAS is 0-10 against the money line in road games with a team slugging percentage .400 or worse on the season (AL) over the last 2 seasons. MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +150 or more (TEXAS) - with a team batting average of .260 or worse on the season (AL), after a combined score of 2 runs or less are 2-36 L/5 seasons for a 95% conversion rate. MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (TEXAS) - poor offensive team - scoring 4.4 or less runs/game on the season (AL), after a combined score of 2 runs or less are 6-36 L/5 seasons for a go against 86% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Tampa Bay to win |
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Nuggets vs Warriors | Nuggets -4 -110 | Premium | 107-116 | Loss | -110 | Show | |
Denver is off a down performance last time out and now Im betting on a big bounce back effort. DENVER is 20-8 ATS after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games over the last 2 seasons NBA Road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (DENVER) - off an upset loss as a home favorite against opponent off an home win scoring 110 or more points are 28-4 ATS L/24 seasons for a 88% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Denver to cover |
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Wizards vs Jazz | OVER 234½ -110 | Premium | 125-121 | Win | 100 | Show | |
The Jazz average just under 120 ppg at home this season, and against a lower tier defensive side like the Wizards Im betting on them putting 5 to 10 more points on that average tonight, while the Wizards Im betting will be good for 110+ points in a chasing environment. When these teams played back on March 18th the Wizards took a 131-122 affair, and more fireworks should be considered highly likely again in the rematch as Utah will have little empathy in melt up type of revenge match.WASHINGTON is 15-3 OVER as an underdog of 10 or more points over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 247.3 ppg scored.WASHINGTON is 8-0 OVER versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game this season with a combined average of 250.7 ppg going on the board.WASHINGTON is 9-0 OVER (+9.0 Units) when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 70%) - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 258.3 ppg scored. NBA team (UTAH) - after 2 straight blowout wins by 15 points or more against opponent after a blowout loss by 15 points or more are 42-15 OVER L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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Bulls vs Grizzlies | Bulls +3 -110 | Premium | 90-101 | Loss | -110 | Show | |
The Bulls were upset last night vs Minnesota , but they are a well conditioned group despite of this being a back to back game, and their 5th and final road game on this current trip. Donovan is 17-5 ATS in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game as the coach of CHICAGO. CHICAGO is 13-4 ATS in road games versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 110+ points/game this season. Chicago is 18-10 SU against opponents with a losing record. The Grizzlies are 12-15 SU in home games. Bulls are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. Bulls are 14-5 ATS in their last 19 games as a road underdog. Bulls are 6-0 ATS in the last 6 meetings. Bulls to cover |
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Coyotes vs Avalanche | Coyotes +290 | Premium | 2-4 | Loss | -100 | Show | |
#1 GOALTENDERS: ARIZONA - ADIN HILL, COLORADO - JONAS JOHANSSON . There is alot of value on this current offered line, despite of the opposite records which makes for viable wagering opportunity. Coyotes are 4-0 in their last 4 games playing on 0 days rest. ARIZONA is 18-10 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%) in the first half of the season over the last 3 seasons. NHL underdog against the money line (ARIZONA) - off 2 consecutive losses against division rivals against opponent off 2 consecutive road wins by 2 goals or more are 21-9 L/24 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Arizona to win/cover |
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#Nets vs #Wolves | #Nets -8½ -109 | Premium | 0-0 | Push | 0 | Show | |
Brooklyn looked bad against the Lakers last time out in a 126-101 loss as favorites, even though the Lakers were missing their key stars James, Davis. Its becoming a worrying scenario , as its happened before against other sides that were short handed , and one that needs addressing immediately according to Steve Nash who constantly calls them out for it. With that said, Im betting on the star laden nets to go out and get some redemption against a Minnesota team that pulled off an upset as underdogs last night and is now on tired legs. MINNESOTA is 1-9 ATS in home games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) over the last 2 seasons. BROOKLYN is 10-1 ATS after 2 consecutive non-conference games this season. Play on Brooklyn to cover |
Experience & Awards
I have been wagering professionally on sports and horse racing for 30 years.
My picks have been documented for 20 years. I have earned numerous top 10 Basketball and Football finishes.
My college football picks have profited in 16 of my last 18 seasons. In 2011 I went 68% for the year.
I was the 2009 NFL Handicapper of the Year in 2009 in a prestigious event. I won the Ultimate Football NFL Championship in 2006. In 2014 I overcame a slow start to finish 59-32 65%!
I have been an NBA World Champion with 7 winning seasons the last 8 years.
I also continue to beat the College Hoops book makers with a high volume attack on a yearly basis.
Handicapping Approach
I have a firm belief in my systems. There is not a sport I feel I can not beat.
My handicapping can be best referred to as the 'The Smart Money Approach". I leave no stone unturned. I have a large database of information and statistics. I also take into consideration injuries, current and historical trends, and form. I also factor in the weather, surface conditions, and line movement.
Sports Betting Is An Investment
Many gamblers offer causal explanations for long runs of good and bad performance. The same is true of financial analysts. The records of bettors and investors show the same variable successes and failures.
Both investment opportunities show significant variables and both can give the investor an advantage. You need to do the proper research to consider all the facts. If you do so a long term profit is more than attainable.
I think sports betting is even better than the stock market. The investor/bettor has much more control over his funds. You can take a short break, and almost always know your bankroll has not been untouched.
In the markets you are leaving your 401K and other mutual investments in the hands of a volatile marketplace. Plus, you are being torched for huge handling fees by brokers on individual investments. These fees would make sports book managers drool.
I am not saying it is easy making a living from sports betting. But, the small percent who do consistently beat the books have a much better rate of return than that of any market investor!
This is the outlook I have on every wager I place in the sports wagering markets. I take my portfolio very seriously!
Money Management
To be a successful and profitable sports bettor you must always have a long term goal. Set that standard before you begin. You need to set aside a fairly substantial bankroll.
If you want to be conservative you would wager no more than 1-2% of your bankroll per game. No more than 3% on the best bets.
This might seem a little on the low side. But, this is a long and turbulent battle with the books. You will be happy that you practiced good money management and frugality.
Here are some additional guidelines I recommend.
1. Shop for your best possible lines (rogue lines) from the most reputable sources.
2. Stay disciplined and do not stray from recommended bankroll allocation on individual wagers. Chasing your wagers never a good idea.
3. Always keep in mind that your bankroll is your life line. It must be treated the same way you would treat finances allocated for any business venture.
4. Buy off the hook on key numbers.
5. Understanding the importance and the art of middling.
6. Keep a record of all your wagers and results and use them as part of over all statistical data base.
These are some important factors that will help you in your quest for long term profits.
I leave you with a thought from the late great Jimmy the Greek. The house does not beat the player, it just gives him the opportunity to beat himself.
*Almost all selections have the same allocated bankroll %(which equals 1 betting unit). Strong selections will see our single game wagers doubled. These plays are rated as GENERALS CLUB selections.