Jimmy Boyd

Game Details
Dec 16 '17, 8:00 PM in 1d
NCAA-F | Middle Tennessee State vs Arkansas State
Play on: Middle Tennessee State +4 -110 at BMaker
Game Analysis

Free pick on Middle Tennessee +

While not my favorite play on Saturday, I see a ton of value with Middle Tennessee as a dog against Arkansas State in the Camellia Bowl. The Blue Raiders really came up short on expectations this year. A lot of people thought this team would win C-USA coming off an 8-5 season with star QB Brett Stockstill coming back. They went just 6-6 and finished a mere 4-4 in league play. 

A big reason for their struggles was Stockstill suffered an injury in their 2nd game at Syracuse (won 30-23) and missed 6 games. By the time he returned they were just 3-5. He returned to the lineup and they went 3-1 to close out the season with the only loss coming in triple-overtime at WKU. In just 6 games, Stockstill threw for 14 TD's, including 7 in his last 3 games (also averaged 272 passing yards/game during this stretch). 

Arkansas State finished 3rd in the Sun Belt at 6-2, but a big part of that is they didn't have to play Appalachian St (T-1st) and Georgia State (4th). They did play Troy (T-1st), but lost to them at home. This team gets a lot of love cause they can move the ball and score points. They were 11th in the country in total offense at 498.4 ypg and 15th in scoring at 38.5 ppg. Clearly a good offensive team, but I think a big reason they are ranked so high is the schedule they have played. 

They did play Nebraska close in their opener, but that turned out to be a bad Cornhuskers team and they likely caught them a bit off guard. The game I think that says a lot about this team is their contest at SMU, which they lost 21-44. I think Stockstill torches this defense and the Red Wolves struggle to keep pace against a legit defense. Note that the Blue Raiders ranked 30th in total defense, giving up only 349 ypg. Take Middle Tennessee! 

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Pick Released on Dec 14 at 07:39 am

Red Dog Sports

Game Details
Dec 19 '17, 7:00 PM in 4d
NCAA-F | Akron vs Florida Atlantic
Play on: Akron +23 -115 at Bovada
Game Analysis

Akron +23

FAU has been great this year under Lance Kiffin. They won just 3 games last year and they get to place their bowl game in the state of Florida and should have plenty of fans in attendance. However, it has been several weeks since they played and Akron should be motivated being the largest of all the underdogs in bowl action. Take the points since you are getting +23.

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Pick Released on Dec 13 at 01:33 am

Doc's Sports

Game Details
Dec 19 '17, 7:00 PM in 4d
NCAA-F | Akron vs Florida Atlantic
Play on: Akron +23 -115 at Bovada
Game Analysis

Free Play from Doc’s Sports. #211 Take Akron Zips over Florida Atlantic Owls (Boca Raton Bowl, Tuesday, 12/19 7 pm ESPN) What a season Lane Kiffin had at Florida Atlanta this season. He won 10 games to go along with a Conference USA Championship. But unfortunately Florida Atlantic may be the end of the line for him, as he was not considered for a coaching promotion due to the bridges he has burned in the past. I just do not see them running over an Akron team that is thrilled to be in this bowl game. Toledo is a very similar team to Florida Atlantic and I expect a similar result in this game, a 15-18 point victory for FAU. Akron is 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games. FAU is 2-6 ATS in their last 8 nonconference games. Do not miss out on Doc’s Sports weekend football card featuring bowl and pro games. 11-2 run on NFL Top Plays so sign-up now and let 46 years of handicapping experience work for you. 

Pick Released on Dec 11 at 06:47 pm

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