Free Sports Picks

1* Free MLB Pick on Cincinnati Reds +115

Books are begging the public to take Milwaukee as a small home favorite, especially with the Brewers coming in having won 5 of 6, while the Reds have dropped 5 of 6. The line really speaks to how much the books like the Reds here. 

It's easy to see why when you look at the numbers for Cincinnati starter Sonny Gray. While he's got a losing record at 5-6, it's not his fault. He's got a strong 3.31 ERA and 1.132 WHIP in his 19 starts. He's been much better than that of late. Gray has a 1.29 ERA and 0.714 WHIP in his last 3 starts. He's allowed just 3 runs with a 29-4 K/BB ratio in 21 innings. 

On top of that, Gray has a 1.85 ERA in 4 career starts against the Reds and his team has prevailed for the win in all 4 of those outings. Lastly, Reds are 6-1 in Gray's last 7 starts vs a division opponent and 8-1 in his last 9 starts vs a team with a winning record. Take Cincinnati! 

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During their last three games, the Marlins have faced the following starting pitchers: Hyun-Jin Ryu, Clayton Kershaw and Walker Buehler.  Those three All-Stars can make any offense look anemic especially at spacious Dodger Stadium. Things are completely different now for the Marlins. They get to face Ivan Nova and the White Sox at Chicago's Guaranteed Rate Field. So not only do the Marlins drop way down in the class of their opponent's starter, but they go to a good hitter's park that is espcially offense-friendly during the humid months of July and August. The Marlins also get to use a DH.  Making all of this even sweeter for the Over is the weather forecast. It calls for wind to be blowing out to right at 17 mph.  Nova probably shouldn't be in a big league rotation. He is 1-4 with a 7.14 ERA in eight home starts this season. The 32-year-old Nova is in rough form, too, allowing 10 runs on 16 hits and five walks during his past two starts spanning 10 2/3 innings.  The White Sox should do damage against Trevor Richards. The Marlins have some intriguing young pitchers. Richards isn't one of them.  Miami is 0-7 in Richards' last seven starts. Richards has a 5.50 ERA during this time frame. He has failed to complete the sixth inning in each of his last six starts. So a bad Marlins bullpen likely is going to get stretched out.  This will be Richards' eighth career interleague start. He is 0-2 with a 5.50 ERA in his first seven interleague starts.
   

R&R Totals FREE MLB Over-Under Monday 7-22-19

OVER 8 1/2 -120 Chicago Cubs/San Francisco

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The MLB Comp Play is on Arizona on the run line at 9:40 eastern. Arizona should coast here as they are 6-0 vs A.L. teams and have won the last 5 here in the series with Baltimore. The Orioles fit a nasty database system that plays against road dogs of +140 or more that are off a +140 or more home dog win with 0 errors, vs an opponent off a home loss by 2+ runs like Arizona. These road teams lose over 90% of the time. Balty is a dismal 0-11 on the road of a home win and 14-51 in game 1 of a series. Ray for Arizona has won 6 of 7 in game 1 of a series and should out pitch Brooks and Baltimore. . For the MLB Free play. Take Arizona -1.5 on the run line. Rob V- GC Sports

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Dave’s Monday Free Play: 

1* on New York Yankees -114 

The Key: The Twins have never been able to figure out the Yankees.  New York is 58-20 in the last 78 meetings, and 27-10 in the last 37 meetings in Minnesota.  The Yankees are 12-2 in C.C. Sabathia’s last 14 starts against the Twins, including 7-0 in his last 7 starts in Minnesota.  Sabathia is 3-0 with a 1.50 ERA in his last 3 starts against the Twins.  Minnesota starter Martin Perez is 2-2 with a 9.68 ERA and 1.98 WHIP in 4 lifetime starts against the Yankees.  Take New York.

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